The current debate over the age at which women should begin taking mammograms is a good example of the kind of pseudoscience that may be introduced once costs becomes a guiding consideration in health care decisions.

As I have argued previously, health care is the one thing we should not economize about. Of course, there may be health care necessities that we cannot afford, in which case we should try to figure out how to afford them, for example, through taxation. But the first thing we should do is to be clear as to what the desirable health care options are.

Most current versions of the health care plan avoid all the real ways to preserve best procedures while lowering costs. These include eliminating fee-for-service and putting doctors on salaries, controlling insurance company and hospital profits, getting strict with drug companies, etc., or having a truly vigorous public option — all of these would be politically unpalatable to our glass-jawed president.

Instead, most current proposals pretend to lower costs by introducing best procedures that are supposedly determined scientifically. The current recommendation of the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force to raise the age at which women begin receiving mammograms from forty to fifty is an example of the kind of thing we may expect. (The recommendation explicitly excludes women who have special risk factors.)

The “scientific” reason given by the Task Force for raising the age at which mammograms begin is to avoid “over-treatment,” including the anxiety associated with the tests, the possible risk of false positives, or the discovery of cancers that grow so slowly that they pose no risk.

Now I ask you: how stupid do these experts think American women are? Do they really think that the way to avoid anxiety is to NOT take a test? Do they really think that false positives cannot be discussed with doctors? Do they seriously claim that “anxiety” is a measurable, scientific fact that they can weigh in making their recommendations? How, in other words, are we to evaluate these recommendations when it is impossible not to suspect that the Task Force’s real motivation was to cut costs?

There may be good reasons to change the age at which mammograms begin. The normal age in other developed countries is fifty, not forty. The best procedure should be discussed in the press, in the scientific community and between individuals and their doctors. This is in fact happening as the American Cancer Society and the American College of Radiology have both rejected the recommendation and both advise annual mammograms beginning at age forty. My only point is that the introduction of the issue of costs into this discussion can only contribute to confusion, obfuscation, and the real false positives of supposedly scientific recommendations that are based on economic — i.e., non-medical — considerations.


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