Swine Flu: Fact Versus Fantasy
by: Dave Belden on November 7th, 2009 | 4 Comments »
The twenty-something son of good friends of mine had some scary symptoms with swine flu last week and recovered. My son at college had a mild go of flu, most likely the H1N1. How worried should we be and where’s the best advice?
Swine flu is estimated to have killed 800 people in the US already. This is much less than the 36,000 who are said to die of the flu every winter in the US, so is there little to worry about? What are your feelings about this at the moment?
Is there fear-mongering going on, or is there actually “complacency-mongering?” The first time I’ve seen that word combo in print is in an article in New Scientist this week, that is clearly concerned that people are taking it all too lightly. The piece describes eight “myths” about swine flu and lays out the countering facts as understood by a smart science journalist who has been following the pandemic for a while, Debora Mackenzie.
Of course, as soon as anyone writes about a medical issue on a spiritual and politically progressive website like this, one dives into the heated pool of opinions about holistic vs. western or allopathic medicine. Children and young people are particularly at risk, so should you get your child vaccinated? Are vaccines, beloved of western medicine, safe? Particularly flu vaccines, that there was a problem with in the 1970s.? Will healthy living, eating and exercising protect you? What about homeopathic remedies? Should you wear a mask?
Most people I know choose between western or alternative medical approaches according to where each is strongest. Our opinions about that differ, and I do know people who have refused cancer surgery, convinced of the power of alternative healing (two women I think of in particular, one of whom died leaving a nine year old daughter, while the other is still healthy over two decades later), and I know people who have gone with back surgery with unhappy results when I would have done way more work first with Alexander Teachers. I’m in the middle: I’ve had cancer surgery and but credit the Alexander Technique and at one point naturopathy with curing chronic ailments that western med failed to.
So I’m more than ready to take the New Scientist’s guide to the swine flu seriously and skeptically at the same time. My conclusion from reading it is that if I would certainly vaccinate my under-age child (if I had one), and am glad my wife and I pressed our son to get the vaccination as soon as it arrives at his college. The article goes into the whole issue of vaccine safety and I buy their argument that the risk of flu is much higher than the risk of vaccine. I am interested to learn that the evidence so far is that masks don’t help, handwashing does help for young children in particular, being healthy and organically fed isn’t enough to protect children on its own, and the forecast is that the epidemic may get better or worse, it isn’t clear.
All this is the same kind of advice you get from the official Government CD site here.
Last point: please note that this mainstream science journalist points out that
There is no obvious pattern to flu pandemics: the ones we know about were in 1580, 1729, 1781, 1830, 1847, 1889, 1918, 1957, 1968 and 2009. But the way this one emerged tells us we may be in for more soon. It is the product of intensive farming, and that is increasing.
So giving up factory farmed meat of any kind, but especially in this context pig and bird meat, is a small step anyone could make towards reducing the likelihood of future flu pandemics.



Thank you for providing information to the public. This particular flu spreads extremely rapidly and it seems to me that an alarming number of healthy young people have died this fall in my state. I would certainly vaccinate my own children if that option were available to me.
Vaccines pose risks, but the risk of epidemics such as cholera, smallpox and diptheria are far greater.
Flu evolves rapidly. A highly contagious flu has an even greater chance of mutating. Vigilance is wise.
Hi Dave,
Fine post: I was blogging about the swine flu on Tikkunista! this week too. The most interesting comments I came across weren’t about the health issue, but rather about the phenomenon of how many people are resisting mainstream medical advice: certainly more than I’ve seen before in Canada. I would guess that’s true for folks elsewhere too. Here’s Rage Against the Vaccine from Judy Rebbick’s radical Canadian website rabble.ca.
And the funniest comment was certainly Dilbert.
We were going to get the vax (we work with kids) and vax our kids (9 and 12). But then she came home with H1N1 flu, I got it, they got it. We’re done. No need to vax now. While we’ve read about the severity of other cases, we consider ourselves fortunate: aside from the initial fever and the pesky frustrating cough, we got off easy (for a change). From our standpoint the Beijing flu that hammered Los Angeles @1993-1994 was far worse, cost us more in terms of lost wages from having to be home….. and no vax available.
The thing that I feel is better this time round compared to ’76 is that we have the internet and I was able to get science based and hard science info on the H1N1 to help inform our decisions. Back then we had media hysteria, rumor and propaganda. Okay, so we still have those today but we have the science right in front of us (or at the public library with internet access).
I still feel this is far too hysterically hyped, perhaps reflecting of my anti-authoritarian nature. There is entirely NOT enough oversight of big pharma (whose meds I do rely upon) and entirely NOT ENOUGH science and science-intelligence people and media for me to simply “trust” even the CDC on any matter. But I’m not going to sit around and wait on someone to tell me what to do on any matter anyway. I’m going to go find out what I need to know, listen to experts and anecdotes and make an informed decision. My biggest concern is access to enough of the hard data and reliable credible anecdotal info in order to make my decision at all. Without the Internet, no one has that path available. And that to me, is worth a little concern.
This isn’t anything new to us either. we’ve been through the whole hoohah around natural childbirth, home births (we had both), delayed vaxes, thimerasol-free vaxes, breastfeeding, child-rearing, child onset “mental illness”, the gammut. The world is not short on the amount of crazy out there.
I’ve read a good deal on this issue since I work with children, and my first reaction to it all is still my main feeling now: that focusing on the vaccine is missing the opportunity to make effective choices on the issue. The number of deaths from swine flu is just so low compared to what’s going on in the world right now, with things like climate chaos, countries going under water, looming mass migrations, global military empire, fascist corporate death-panels (to steal a phrase and use it more accurately), I mean we’re still clearcutting the Rain Forests! And people are worrying about a flu? Look, there’s nothing wrong with hearing about a big flu season coming up and reading about it, preparing, deciding what you want to do – great, but then move on, because in the bigger picture swine flu is a tiny tiny blip on the radar. The only way we could take this swine flu thing and make a real change towards preventing the sort of thing in the future is by launching a massive campaign to make intensive/corporate/factory farming obsolete, completely reforming our agricultural systems by revitalizing local food infrastructures, etc., look at the kinds of things that are destroying American immune systems and start eliminating those, make a huge leap forward for our response to climate change overnight (warmer climate means big outbreaks of infectious disease), things like that. Basically, things that aren’t likely to happen because our societal inertia is so stuck on comfort. -shrug-